TL
TriSalus Life Sciences, Inc. (TLSI)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue of $7.35M grew 42% YoY, with gross margin at 86% (vs 89% YoY), and operating loss improving to $8.7M from $18.6M a year ago; sequential revenue was essentially flat vs Q2 ($7.36M) as summer utilization softened before a strong September ramp .
- Management introduced 2025 guidance: >50% sales growth, >20% OpEx reduction, positive full‑year EBITDA, and positive cash flow in H2’25; emphasis on TriNav LV launch, expanded reimbursement, and DELIVER/PROTECT clinical program to expand the addressable market .
- Commercial execution highlighted by 42 net new hospital accounts and utilization rising to 15.3 units/account in Q3; sales/clinical specialists expected to reach ~50 by year‑end to support sustained 50% growth into 2025 .
- Liquidity: $11.3M cash at 9/30 plus $25M available on OrbiMed facility supports runway through 2025; plan to draw $10M in early Q1’25; focus on OpEx discipline as PERIO Phase 1 trials wind down .
- Estimate comparison: S&P Global consensus for Q3 2024 could not be retrieved due to provider rate limits; thus, beat/miss vs Street not determinable at this time (see Estimates Context) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- 42% YoY revenue growth with 86% gross margin; operating loss halved YoY on higher volume and R&D/G&A reductions .
- Product expansion: launch of TriNav LV and TriGuide to access larger vessels; positions full access to ~$375M liver embolization market, with same HCPCS codes easing adoption .
- Clinical momentum: positive PERIO‑01 Phase 1 (UM‑LM) data presented at SITC; strategic shift to partner nelitolimod for UM‑LM to accelerate development .
- Quote: “We’re on track to drive sustained growth of 50% annually for the foreseeable future” — CEO Mary Szela .
- Commercial KPIs: 42 net new hospital accounts added; utilization rose to 15.3 units/account in Q3 .
-
What Went Wrong
- Sequential revenue flat vs Q2 ($7.35M vs $7.36M) due to weaker July–August utilization before a strong September; Q3 gross margin dipped to 86% from Q2’s 88% .
- Q3 GAAP net loss to common was $2.4M; results remain influenced by non‑cash fair‑value movements (e.g., +$5.0M change in SEPA/warrant/revenue base liabilities and +$2.36M earnout) .
- Continued cash burn ($11.3M in Q3) necessitates disciplined OpEx cuts and external liquidity draws; management targets Q4 burn of ~$4–4.5M and H2’25 positive cash flow .
Financial Results
Segment/Product Mix (Q3 2024)
- Revenue source: 100% from TriNav system device sales .
Key Performance Indicators (Q3 2024)
Non‑GAAP/Non‑cash items (Q3 2024)
- Change in fair value of SEPA, warrant, revenue base redemption liabilities: +$4.97M; contingent earnout: +$2.36M, affecting reported net loss .
Guidance Changes
Note: Q3’24 guidance did not include an explicit gross margin target; a >87% FY25 GM target was later reiterated with Q4’24 results (outside the Q3 scope) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q1’24 earnings materials were found in our corpus; we compare Q2’24 to Q3’24 where applicable.
Management Commentary
- Strategic stance: “We’re on track to drive sustained growth of 50% annually for the foreseeable future,” supported by product launches and clinical advancement (CEO) .
- Market access: TriNav LV “provides full access to the $375 million chemo and radio embolization market,” with same HCPCS codes enabling seamless integration (CEO) .
- Clinical pivot: “We are actively pursuing a strategic partnership for nelitolimod [UM‑LM]” following positive PERIO‑01 Phase 1 results at SITC (CEO) .
- Operating discipline: “Operating expenses should decline by 20%... Positive full‑year EBITDA and positive cash flow in the second half” of 2025 (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- 2025 revenue drivers: Guidance assumptions primarily reflect TACE/TARE; early thyroid cases occurring but immaterial near‑term (CFO) .
- Nelitolimod path: Company will partner UM‑LM; HCC/ICC (PERIO‑02) to proceed via investigator‑initiated studies; PERIO‑03 (pancreas) decision post mid‑2025 data (CFO) .
- Utilization and account growth: 2025 plan assumes avg same‑store usage rising to 17.5 units; ~50 new accounts in 2025; ~$5M 2025 sales contribution expected from TriNav Large (CFO) .
- Pancreatic infusion reimbursement: Category III code submission planned Feb 2025; potential approval mid‑2025, then pursue Category I (CEO) .
- Cash burn trajectory: Q3 burn “a tad over $11M”; expected to drop to $4–$4.5M in Q4; aim for H2’25 positive cash flow (CFO) .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to pull S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q3 2024 revenue and EPS, but the provider returned a daily rate limit error; as a result, we cannot present definitive beat/miss vs the Street at this time [GetEstimates error].
- On the call, one analyst referenced “consensus… $8.2 million,” and management reiterated 2024 revenue range of $28–$30M; the specific consensus context was not clarified on the call (analyst/CFO) .
- If desired, we can refresh S&P Global consensus in a follow‑up once access resets and update the beats/misses accordingly.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core device business executing: YoY growth +42% with 86% GM; sequential softness appears seasonal; September was a record month, supporting Q4 exit momentum .
- Portfolio unlocks TAM: TriNav LV fills large‑vessel gap and, together with TriGuide, targets full access to a ~$375M market; same HCPCS codes should ease adoption and billing .
- New indications expand opportunity: PROTECT registry opens a ~$400M thyroid embolization opportunity (~50k procedures), pushing total addressable market beyond $1B .
- 2025 inflection: Management targets >50% sales growth, >20% OpEx cut, positive EBITDA and H2’25 FCF; key drivers are market share gains, TriNav LV, and OpEx discipline as PERIO trials wind down .
- Liquidity manageable: $11.3M cash plus OrbiMed capacity, with $10M draw planned in early Q1’25; burn trending down as G&A/clinical costs normalize .
- Pipeline strategy de‑risked: Positive PERIO‑01 supports partnering nelitolimod in UM‑LM; PERIO‑03 decision gated to mid‑2025 data, limiting internal cash needs until clearer efficacy signals emerge .
- Trading setup: Near‑term catalysts include TriNav LV adoption ramp, PROTECT site activations/enrollment updates, reimbursement milestones for pancreatic infusion, and partnership progress on nelitolimod—each a potential stock mover as execution and timelines are clarified on subsequent updates .
Supporting detail and source citations:
- Q3 2024 8‑K earnings release and financials
- Q3 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A)
- Q2 2024 8‑K earnings release for sequential comparison
Estimates note: We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q3 2024, but access was rate‑limited at the time of query; we will update beats/misses once access resets.